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Top 10 Takeaways from the 2016 Election

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Patrick Stewart
Tuesday, 24 January 2017 / Published in Data, Political Analytics
There were a lot of predictions from pundits in the lead up to the 2016 Election, many of which predicted a Hillary Clinton victory. We now know that Donald Trump earned the victory with key wins in a handful of surprise swing states. With this still settling in for some, we took a hard look
2016 ElectionData ScienceDonald TrumpHillary ClintonPolitics

How Our Poll Got It Right

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Patrick Stewart
Thursday, 17 November 2016 / Published in Analytics, Data, Political Analytics
This year, the Red Oak Strategic team decided to undertake a new challenge in the world of polling and analytics : conduct a bi-weekly, public, national survey that we would execute and release using the Google Surveys platform. Beginning in August and continuing through the final week of the 2016 election, our partnership with GCS led
2016 ElectionData SciencePoliticsPolling

Could Google and Xbox solve all of polling’s problems?

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Mark Stephenson
Friday, 26 August 2016 / Published in Analytics, Data, Political Analytics, Predictive Analytics
Political polling faces a crisis of confidence. Major news outlets repeatedly ask “What’s the matter with polling?” after major misses like the Bernie Sanders’s primary upset in Michigan, where he beat Hillary Clinton 50–48 despite the fact that she was leading by up to 20 points in reputable polls. There is, however, hope for a
2016 ElectionData SciencePoliticsPolling

Tracking 2016 using Google Consumer Surveys

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Patrick Stewart
Wednesday, 10 August 2016 / Published in Data, Political Analytics
Today, we debuted our national tracking poll, conducted using Google Consumer Surveys. We are one of the first researchers in the political space to embrace the technology and after working close with their team on some Republican primary work, wanted to build upon those successes throughout 2016. The poll will run through Election Day 2016
2016 ElectionData SciencePolitics

The Analytical Nomination Pathway: Proportionality and a Draft Kings Approach

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Mark Stephenson
Wednesday, 11 November 2015 / Published in Analytics, Data, Political Analytics
After last night’s Republican debate in Wisconsin, we thought it would be useful to begin analyzing how the GOP campaigns are thinking analytically about their pathways to the nomination. Not only is Wisconsin a state that affords the GOP a chance at winning a midwestern state in ’16, it could also represent a key decision
2016 ElectionData SciencePolitics

Why Polling, Data & Analytics Will Finally Converge in 2016

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Mark Stephenson
Thursday, 05 November 2015 / Published in Analytics, Data, Political Analytics
Lots of discussion and criticism came out of this past Tuesday’s election results, much of it focusing on the Kentucky Governor’s race and the lack of reliable polling measures, which lead to a somewhat surprising election night result for many pundits. One particular story, written here by @ForecasterEnten, made very valid points about the scope
2016 ElectionPoliticsPolling

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